Monday, 1 March 2010

The Return of the Tartan Tories – Why a vote for the SNP is a vote for Cameron.

Let’s face it: in some ways the UK is a divided country.  Even if the Conservatives get a majority at Westminster in the upcoming elections, they are not going to get many seats in Scotland .  We Celts are cursed with what the English find unforgivable: a good memory.  The Poll Tax will continue to cast it’s shadow through many a generation here.

What is a Tory leader to do with us?  General Wade will not avail him nowadays; it is to the more subtle, nay to darker arts Cameron feels that he must turn.

The big man has been busy.  Those few (I bear no illusions) those very few who read my blog of 7th of October, 2009 would have already been alerted to Conservative efforts to get nationalists (of all colours) onside.  It was very sad to me personally that this policy was confirmed with the wooing of the DUP during January this year.  Being half-Irish, I am appalled at the folly and shallowness of Cameron meddling in sectarian politics which has cost thousands of lives in the past generation. While the situation in North Ireland is improving, it is still fragile as events of the past week has all too readily shown.

Why all this is important is as follows: not only is Cameron gathering support in case of a hung parliament, the Conservatives have already pledged to restrict voting in the Commons on what is defined as English matters to English MPs.  Not that it will really matter to the SNP because they already have a self-imposed ban on voting on matters that they define none of Scotland ’s business.  Hence the Conservatives will maintain a majority on many of the votes through the Commons and it is all the better for them if most of the Scottish MPs are from the SNP.  However, this is a two-way street that also favours Alex Salmond.

Don’t take my word for it.  The Scotsman newspaper has come to the same conclusion.  In it’s front page story today, it states that the SNP’s best hope was a Conservative victory at the polls, because it plays into the (well deserved) antipathy for the Tories north of the border.  In a survey of 1,000 individuals, about two-fifths of both Labour and Liberal Democrat voters said that they would more likely to favour independence if there was a Conservative government at Westminster .

To summarise: in Scotland the SNP wants you to vote SNP for obvious reasons.  But so do the Conservatives because they don’t stand a chance here and the SNP will not vote on English matters.  More votes for Cameron in parliament.  And more chance of a Yes, Yes vote for Salmond’s independence poll, should it finally occur.

So if you don’t want a Conservative government, you had better not vote SNP either. 

Q.E.D.

http://thescotsman.scotsman.com/politics/Crumbs-of-comfort-amid-poll.6111540.jp
http://martinveart.blogspot.com/2009/10/strange-bedfellows-snp-tories-and-west.html


3 comments:

DeeDee Ramona said...

This would not be the first time that the Tories courted the unionists. Thatcher did as well, when she had a small minority during one of her terms. The Tories have zero interest in NI and neither does anyone else. It's long been regarded as a liability and a bargaining chip full of nutters to be used where expendient and otherwise left to rot. The reason the "nutters" on both sides get the votes is that the citizens of NI are not stupid and know that no-one else cares about them. Particularly the desperately poor communities on both sides of the divide.

And I wouldn't vote SNP, because I don't want Scottish independence. I don't think it's a good idea. I like living in Great Britain as it is. Also because they are not Lefty enough for me and Salmond is a dick.

As you know, I'm voting Labour, for various reasons. I like my local MP for one. He voted against the Iraq war, among other things...

Martin Veart said...

DeeDee, I do rather feel sorry for socialists such as yourself. Although not one, I acknowledge that socialism has enriched the body politic of many western European countries including the UK.
The reason for my sorrow is that when it comes to these Westminster elections, people like you have been effectively disenfranchised. Even if your MP is Old Labour, there is no way the leadership can remotely describe as socialist in any positive sense of the word.

I don't like tactical voting. One should vote for reason, beliefs and principles. So I do appreciate your loyalty to the individual MP. But I do know that many who are currently disenfrachised are voting Liberal Democrat since that is the only national party committed to bringing real democracy to the Westminster parliament.

DeeDee Ramona said...

Well, it's not like I didn't know what your response would be :).